A while back, in “Crime, Explained,” I said this:
Crime … depends mainly on two uncontrollable variables (BLK and YNG), and four controllable ones: ENL, GRO, PRS, and SNT. The controllable variables are salutary means of reducing crime, and the record shows that they work.
(BLK = blacks as a proportion of population; YNG = persons aged 15-24 as a proportion of population; ENL = active-duty, male, enlisted personnel as a proportion of population aged 15-24; GRO = growth of real GDP per capita; PRS = prisoners in federal and State penitentiaries as a proportion of population; SNT = mandatory sentencing guidelines in effect.)
This finding is based on an exhaustive analysis, the details of which are recited in “Crime, Explained.”
Now, La Griffe du Lion considers a factor that I was unable to account for in my analysis: the proportion of Hispanics in the population. This is from La Griffe’s newest (and long-awaited) post, “Crime and the Hispanic Effect“:
It has been conjectured that the contribution of Hispanics to violent crime is on the point of advancing to the standing enjoyed by blacks. This, however, is not confirmed by our evidence, at least in our largest cities. Whoever thinks or has thought this to be so has come to this determination from evidence not directly related to what is happening on the street, but rather from incarceration records, court appearances or sentencing data. When crimes rather than criminals are counted, and the Hispanic effect is appropriately removed, the data show that violent crime rates for Hispanics and non-Hispanic whites, though a bit higher for Hispanics, are in actual fact quite similar. As for blacks, their crime rate remains by any measure uniquely high.
La Griffe comes to this conclusion as he usually comes to his conclusions: through careful, statistical analysis. His conclusion about crime among Hispanics is the good news. The bad (but not unexpected) news is his conclusion about crime among blacks.
Race and Reason: The Derbyshire Debacle
Race and Reason: The Victims of Affirmative Action
Not-So-Random Thoughts (III)
Race and Reason: The Achievement Gap — Causes and Implications
Liberty and Society
The Eclipse of “Old America”
Genetic Kinship and Society