Back in September 2023, I issued the first of sixteen posts in the series “Trump vs. Biden”. (The series became “Trump vs. Harris”, but that’s another story). In that post, I used (for the last time until now) a metric that I devised early in Trump’s first term: the enthusiasm ratio. The ratio is the number of likely voters who strongly approve a president as a percentage of the number of likely voters who venture an opinion one way or the other (thus omitting the voters who are non-committal).
I am resurrecting the metric, to see whether Trump’s second term turns out to be as well-received as his first term became after its first year, when Trump endured ceaseless media criticism, the hoax-based Mueller investigation into his ties with Russia, and the theatrical rage of Democrats in Congress.
Here is how Trump 2 scores in the early going of his second term, in comparison with his first term, Obama’s two terms, and Biden’s single term:
Derived from Rasmussen Reports Daily Presidential Tracking Polls for Obama, Trump 1, Biden, and Trump 2.
It’s too soon to tell whether Trump will win over some of his doubters, as he did in a big way during his first term. But it will happen if he scores some big wins with his audacious actions, of which I expect to see more.
Stay tuned.
Politics and Prosperity 