What’s Wrong with Wikipedia?

Robert McHenry, a former editor-in-chief of the Encyclopedia Britannica, tries to explain the source of Wikipedia‘s flaws:

Many revisions, corrections, and updates are badly done or false. There is a simple reason for this: Not everyone who believes he knows something about Topic X actually does; and not everyone who believes he can explain Topic X clearly, can. People who believe things that are not the case are no less confident in their beliefs than those who happen to believe true things. (In case this point interests you, I have written extensively on it.) Consequently, it is far more reasonable to expect that, while initially poor articles may indeed improve over time, initially superior ones will degrade, with all tending to middling quality and subject to random fluctuations in quality. Note that this has nothing to do with the vandalism or the ideological “revert wars” that are also features of Wikipedia’s insistence on openness and that apparently occupy much of the volunteer editors’ time and effort.

But McHenry omits the key explanatory variable. Wikipedia is not subject to the usual discipline of the market:

  • Wikipedia is a hobby-shop, not a business. Its “owners” (volunteer Wikiwatchers) are not interested in making a profit. Even if relatively few persons used Wikipedia, the volunteers (or most of them) probably would continue to volunteer because they enjoy doing so — just as millions of volunteers perform ineptly for non-profit organizations and millions of bloggers maintain obscure, incoherent blogs. Wikipedia‘s owners have no pecuniary stake in it.
  • Because Wikipedia is a hobby-shop, contributors to Wikipedia are not screened by an expert editorial board that solicits paid contributions from credentialed sources. Wikipedia‘s contributors are essentially bloggers who have found another outlet for expression — they have no pecuniary stake in the quality of their contributions.
  • The users of Wikipedia do not pay to use it, either directly or indirectly (by clicking through to advertisers). Wikipedia is used mainly because it is free. It is used mainly by bloggers who do not “re-sell” Wikipedia‘s content and, therefore, have no pecuniary stake in the quality of Wikipedia‘s content. Therefore, unlike the buyers of a defective product who take their business elsewhere, Wikipedia‘s users have no effective way to discipline Wikipedia for its failings.

In sum, you get what you pay for when you use Wikipedia. That said, it’s still very often a useful source of basic facts and links to (sometimes) authoritative sources.

A 32-Year Error

An otherwise spot-on post about 12/12 Democrats* opens with this chronological error:

Today marks the fifth anniversary of the birth of the wing of the Democratic Party which now controls the party apparatus. And while the leaders of that wing do not speak all Democrats, they have become the face (and voice) of the Democratic Party in President George W. Bush’s second term.

The Democrat Party began its veer to the hard left in 1968, with Eugene McCarthy’s anti-war candidacy. McCarthy didn’t win the party’s nomination that year, but his strong showing made reflexive anti-war rhetoric a respectable staple of Democrat discourse.

The Democrats proceeded in 1972 to nominate George McGovern, who seems moderate only by contrast with Ramsey Clark and Michael Moore. Since McGovern’s ascendancy, the left-wing nuts generally have dominated the party — in voice if not in numbers. Nominees since McGovern: Carter (a latter-day Tokyo Rose), Mondale (Carter’s one-term accomplice), Dukakis, Clinton, Gore, and Kerry — all well to the left of the mainstream (to borrow some Democrat rhetoric). Bill Clinton (of the failed plan to socialize health care) became a moderate only because he faced Republican majorities in Congress. Clinton lately has been showing his true colors.
__________
* The U.S. Supreme Court decided Bush v. Gore on December 12, 2000, thus setting off five years of Bush-hatred on the left.

Great Minds and the Constitution

Bill Niskanen, chairman of Cato Institute, comments at Cato Unbound about Nobel laureate James Buchanan’s proposed amendments to the Constitution. Niskanen’s view, like mine, is that Prof. Buchanan’s proposal doesn’t go far enough. Specifically, Niskanen proposes a nullification amendment and a secession amendment. My very own rewrite of the Constitution happens to include such provisions:

Delegations of the States shall convene every four years for the purpose of considering revisions to and revocations of acts of Congress and/or holdings of the Supreme Court of the United States of America. Such conventions (hereinafter “convention of the States”) may revise and/or revoke any act or acts and/or any holding or holdings, in the sole discretion of a majority of State delegations present and voting. . . . (from Article VII)

* * *

Each State retains the right to secede from this Union, but secession must in each case be approved by three-fourths of the members of each house of a State’s legislature and ratified within thirty days by the executive of the State. At least one year must intervene between the ratification of an act of secession and its execution, during which time the act of secession may be nullified by a majority of the total number of legislators of a State. Revocation does not require ratification by the State’s executive. (Article VI, Section C.2)

Niskanen doubts the effectiveness of a secession amendment. I don’t. The prospective secession of a large number of Red States — which contain a disproportionate share of costly-to-replace military installations — might get the attention of those Blue Staters who understand the virtue of “the common defence.”

We Have Met the Enemy . . .

. . . and he is [some of] us. (Apologies to the late Walt Kelly.)

UPDATED BELOW (12/15/05 @ 5:06 p.m.)

Brendan O’Neill, writing at Spiked, opines that bin Laden’s script is written in the West:

Why has Verso brought out a book [link added] of bin Laden’s statements and why is it being treated so seriously, complete with a promotional push in Waterstone’s in Piccadilly, one of the biggest bookstores in Europe? . . . . Is it that the dumbing down of public life is now so complete that even a loon like bin Laden can get five stars from literary pundits for saying things like ‘kill the Americans and seize their money wherever and whenever [you] find them’ (December 1998) and ‘My kidneys are all right’ (November 2001)?

I think there’s more to it than that. I reckon the reason why some commentators in the West seem drawn to bin Laden’s prose is because at times – and I’m not going to beat around the bush here – he sounds an awful lot like them. Seriously, it is uncanny. What comes across most clearly in this 10 years’ worth of rants is the extent to which bin Laden borrows and steals from Western media coverage to justify his nihilistic actions. From his cynical adoption of the Palestinian issue to his explanations for why he okayed 9/11 to his opposition to the American venture in Iraq, virtually everything bin Laden says is a rip-off of arguments and claims made in the mainstream media over here. He has taken the justifications offered by left-leaning pundits for al-Qaeda’s existence and actions (in the words of one commentator: ‘There is a simple reason why they attack the US: American imperialism’) and made them his own (2). And now these pundits have returned the favour by giving him his own book and glowing reviews to boot. It is the unholiest of marriages. . . .

Take Palestine. It is widely assumed that al-Qaeda’s violence is primarily motivated by Israel’s oppression of the Palestinians and will continue until that issue is resolved. Yet bin Laden’s nods to Palestine over the past 10 years tell a different story.

. . . Bruce Lawrence, editor of this collection, has given bin Laden’s first major public pronouncement – made on 29 December 1994 – the heading ‘The betrayal of Palestine’; but when you read it, Palestine is cynically mentioned as part of bin Laden’s spat with Saudi rulers. . . .

Bin Laden sounds like a spoilt middle-class brat sticking two fingers up at his family and former friends (he was once close to various Saudi rulers) for getting all money-obsessed, dude. In fact, that’s exactly what he is: the son of a Saudi billionaire who in the 1970s made a fortune from running one of daddy’s construction firms and drove a white Chrysler, but then went all religious and decided that capitalism is not very nice. If he’d been born in the Home Counties instead of Riyadh, he would probably have been one of those Eton-educated types who turn their backs on privilege and piss off their parents by becoming smelly hippies who smash up McDonald’s. . . .

. . . Even when bin Laden’s statements are liberally peppered with references to Palestine (as often they are), he only mentions it opportunistically and symbolically; there is no real or practical input into Palestinian politics. In 2001, his second-in-command Ayman al-Zawahiri said: ‘The fact that must be acknowledged is that the issue of Palestine is the cause that has been firing up the feelings of the Muslim nation from Morocco to Indonesia for the past 50 years.’

Likewise, bin Laden’s justifications for 9/11 are continually moulded and shaped by Western media coverage. At first – on 28 September 2001 – he disavows responsibility for the attacks, instead trying to pin the blame on some dastardly conspiracy within America itself. . . . Then there are intelligence agencies in the US, which require billions of dollars of funds from the Congress and the government every year. . . .

A secret government that may have executed the attacks itself in order to get more funding for foreign wars of intervention…sound familiar? Bin Laden could have lifted these explanations from any number of blogs or conspiracy sites that swung into action in the days and weeks after 9/11. Later he claims that 9/11 was in retaliation for Palestine (see above). Later still, he starts banging on about 9/11 as part of a bigger ‘plan to bleed America to the point of bankruptcy, with God’s will’. And guess how he tries to prove that this plan has been a success? Yes, by once again pilfering Western media coverage. On 21 October 2001, he says:

‘I say that the events that happened on 11 September are truly great events by any measure…. The daily income of the American nation is $20 billion. The first week [after the attack] they didn’t work at all as a result of the psychological shock of the attack, and even today some still don’t work because of it. So if you multiply $20 billion by one week, it comes to $140 billion…. The cost of building and construction losses? Let us say more than $30 billion. So far they have fired or liquidated more than 170,000 employees from airline companies, including airfreight companies and commercial airlines…. One of the well-known American hotel companies, Intercontinental, has fired 20,000 employees, thanks to God’s grace….’

And on it goes. Can you see what bin Laden is doing here? He has not been ‘wonderfully briefed’ by al-Qaeda’s resident economist, if it has such a thing; rather, he is cherry-picking from the various scare stories and predictions of doom – and indeed real job losses – that were splashed across the media in the immediate aftermath of 9/11 and claiming ownership of them, as if they were all part of his plot. . . . He attempts to attach meaning to his nihilistic assault retrospectively – first by borrowing the Palestine explanation from Western commentators, and then by citing the economic handwringing that also was widespread in the Western media. . . .

Bin Laden’s parroting of Western views is most stark in his later statements about Iraq. Here, he sounds like a cross between Michael Moore and Robert Fisk, with a bit of Koran-bashing thrown in for good measure. In a statement dated 29 October 2004, one bit in particular made me laugh: bin Laden seems to suggest that the weapons inspectors in Iraq should have been given more time before the rush to war! He says:

‘…American thinkers and intellectuals warned Bush before the war that everything he needed to guarantee America’s security by removing weapons of mass destruction – assuming they existed – was at his disposal, that all countries were with him when it came to inspections, and that America’s interest did not require him to launch into a groundless war with unknown repercussions. But the black gold blinded him and he put his own private interests ahead of the American public interest….’

The above statement is like a microcosm of the trendy liberal argument against the war in Iraq: we should have let the weapons inspectors continue their job (bin Laden for Blix!) but because Bush is so addicted to oil (the ‘black gold’) he went ahead with the war anyway. Bin Laden even worries about the war having ‘unknown repercussions’, an echo of debates in the West about the unpredictability of war in Iraq and the concern that it might make all of us less rather than more safe. No wonder bin Laden namechecks ‘American thinkers and intellectuals’ – he got his political position on Iraq directly from them.

By the time of Iraq, bin Laden – who started out as a Saudi obsessive who wanted to make Saudi society even more chokingly religious – has become a fully-fledged Bush-basher, virtually indistinguishable from a new generation of journos and bloggers who see Bush as the most evil president ever and Iraq as the wickedest war of all time (they have short historical memories). He rants that ‘this war is making billions of dollars for the big corporations, whether it be those who manufacture weapons or reconstruction firms like Halliburton and its offshoot and sister companies’. Halliburton has, of course, become the bete noir of the anti-capitalist-cum-anti-war movement. Bin Laden says: ‘It is all too clear, then, who benefits most from stirring up this war and bloodshed: the merchants of war, the bloodsuckers who direct world policy from behind the scenes.’ This is also a popular idea on today’s anti-war left: that a wicked cabal led by Paul Wolfowtiz and Dick Cheney (both of whom have big business links) is leading America to war. (Indeed, I tried my best to find some differences between that sentence uttered by bin Laden and this one uttered by anti-Bush actor Woody Harrelson – ‘the epidemic of all human rights violations all stems from the same sick source, and that is The Beast: these giant frigging industries that control the body politic, our society and certainly our economy’ – but I had no luck.) . . .

In [a] statement ( . . . on 29 October 2004) bin Laden chastises Bush for leaving ‘50,000 of his citizens in the two towers to face this great horror on their own’, because he considered ‘a little girl’s story about a goat and its butting [to be] more important than dealing with aeroplanes and their butting into skyscrapers’. What is he rabbiting on about? You’ll know if you’ve seen, or read about, Michael Moore’s film Fahrenheit 9/11, which opens with painful footage of Bush reading a story called ‘My Pet Goat’ to a classroom of kids on the morning of 9/11 while the planes hit the twin towers. Maybe bin Laden watched a pirate DVD of Fahrenheit 9/11; maybe he just read about the opening scene somewhere on the web. Either way, he seems yet again to borrow from an anti-Americanism that has its origins in the West. . . .

In a nutshell, bin Laden steals from and quotes Western commentators in his justifications for al-Qaeda violence, and then Western commentators re-quote bin Laden’s rehashing of their own arguments as evidence that al-Qaeda is a rational political organisation. Talk about a vicious cycle. In the process, some commentators get dangerously close to being apologists for al-Qaeda. In the introduction to this collection, editor Bruce Lawrence asks ‘Should bin Laden…be described as a contemporary anti-imperialist fighter adaptive to the Information Age?’ He answers his own question by quoting Michael Mann (whom he describes as ‘one of the most level-headed of sociologists’). Mann says: ‘Despite the religious rhetoric and the bloody means, bin Laden is a rational man. There is a simple reason why he attacked the US: American imperialism. As long as America seeks to control the Middle East, he and people like him will be its enemy.’

What these commentators don’t seem to realise is that they provided bin Laden with the cloak of rationality and political reasoning. Their own arguments, often cynically made, about al-Qaeda being an understandable (if bloody and murderous) response to American imperialism have been co-opted – explicitly so – by bin Laden. . . .

Instead of exposing the glaring contradictions in bin Laden’s statements – all the better to undermine al-Qaeda’s violent outbursts and put the real case for a Palestinian homeland and an end to Western intervention in the Middle East – too many on the left read meaning and consistency into his statements, projecting their own political prejudices on to the ranting of a bearded man in a cave. As a result, what is in truth a disparate nihilistic campaign, an incoherent lashing out against modernity, is given the cloth of ‘anti-imperialism’ with which to dress up its crimes.

. . . This collection of bin Laden’s statements reveals that al-Qaeda is the bastard child of a fearmongering right and an opportunistic left.

Enough said, except to point you to some related posts:

Getting It Wrong: Civil Libertarians and the War on Terror (A Case Study) (05/18/04)
The Illogic of Knee-Jerk Privacy Adocates (10/06/04)
Treasonous Blogging? (03/05/05)
Absolutism (03/25/05)
Shall We All Hang Separately? (08/13/05)
Foxhole Rats (08/14/05)
Treasonous Speech? (08/18/05)
Foxhole Rats, Redux (08/22/05)
The Faces of Appeasement (11/19/05)

UPDATE: There is one more thing to say: This woman typifies the enemy within. She hates America because it isn’t perfect and isn’t “run” the way she’d like to run it. Typical adolescent, leftist whining. I’m sick of it.

The Solomon Amendment

Coyote Blog has it exactly right about the Solomon amendment case now before the Supreme Court (Rumsfeld v. FAIR). If you haven’t heard of it, the Solomon amendment

is the popular name of 10 USC Sec. 983, a . . . federal law that allows the Secretary of Defense to deny Federal grants (including research grants) to institutions of higher education if they prohibit or prevent ROTC or military recruitment on campus.

Pro-defense types (as I am) may instinctively applaud the Solomon amendment. I oppose it, for the very same reason as the proprietor of Coyote Blog:

[The Solomon amendment] may be the new template for government control of individual lives. In both Universities and state governments, the Feds use the threat of withdrawal of federal funds to coerce actions (thing 55 mile speed limit, title IX, military recruiting on campus) that the Constitution nominally does not see[m] to give them authority over. Now, there is the distinct possibility that federal funds to individuals (Social Security, Medicare, unemployment) could be used to increase federal authority and coercive micro-management at the individual level.

It’s quite a shell game. Congress takes money from taxpayers, then “gives” it away — with strings attached. And because the money has passed through the hands of the federal government, the recipients of the money must do the bidding of the federal government. This wouldn’t be happening if people were allowed to keep their money and use it as they see fit.

Here’s hoping the Supreme Court upholds the Solomon amendment. That result would give liberals yet another reason to favor federalism.

Amend the Constitution or Amend the Supreme Court?

Many pixels have been devoted in recent days to Nobel laureate James Buchanan’s modest proposal, at Cato Unbound, for amending the Constitution. I wrote earlier about a tangential aspect of Prof. Buchanan’s post. Now I must respond to Judge Alex Kozinski’s official commentary at Cato Unbound. Here’s some of what Judge Kozinski has to say:

Dr. Buchanan advances a vision of government — especially the federal government — that I find attractive. There is, alas, a lingering nostalgia for the vision of the minimalist state as a purer form of government, one that advances everyone’s economic well-being while maximizing personal freedom. While I have a romantic attachment to this vision, I’m far from convinced that it would achieve the goals set for it — that we’d be living in a better world today if only we repudiated the New Deal, or had never adopted it in the first place. Whenever I try to imagine what such a world would look like, I look at the world we do live in and recognize that we don’t have it so bad at all. We have the world’s strongest economy by far; we are the only superpower, having managed to bury the Evil Empire; and we have more freedom than any other people anytime in history. We must be doing something right.

My take (from a comment thread at The Volokh Conspiracy):

Judge Kozinski is right that we have it “good” in spite of the New Deal and its progeny. What he overlooks, however, is how much better we would have it if it weren’t for the New Deal and its progeny. There is the “seen” (what we have) but there is the “unseen” (what we don’t have because of the oppressive effects of taxation and regulation on social and economic freedom). Judge Kozinski focuses on the seen and forgets about the unseen. His “solution” is to repeal the income tax. But that is no solution at all unless government’s power to do things (unconstitutional things, at that) is curbed. The feds might have to replace the income tax with a sales tax, but they’d do it in a heartbeat if that’s what it would take to continue doing to us the things it’s doing to us. Prof. Buchanan is on the right track, which is to strike at the heart of governmental power. The more practical route to that end, however, is to keep appointing Supreme Court justices whose instincts seem to make them likely allies of Justices Thomas and Scalia.

Mr. Clinton’s Magic Economic Machine

UPDATED BELOW

AP reports on a speech made by the erstwhile president to an audience in Montreal:

With a “serious disciplined effort” to develop energy-saving technology, he said, “we could meet and surpass the Kyoto targets in a way that would strengthen and not weaken our economies.”

A free “serious disciplined effort” to develop energy-saving technology? Followed by the free replacement of existing technology?

Well, perhaps the effort could be powered by Clinton’s hot air, which is the only sign of warming — global or otherwise — in Montreal these days.

UPDATE: Follow the money. Always a good bet when it comes to the Clintons. Not that there’s anything wrong with money, but the things some people are willing to do for it . . .

(Hat tip to EconoPundit)

Give Me Liberty or Give Me Non-Aggression?

Are you a libertarian or merely an adherent of the non-aggression principle? (There is a difference, as I will come to.) I have devised a test to help you decide which you are. First, consider this hypothetical situation:

1. In Country A (just as in Country B), the armed forces are controlled by the state. (I don’t want to get off onto the tangent of whether war is more or less likely if defense is provided by private agencies.)

2. The only restriction on the liberty of Country A’s citizens is that they must pay taxes to support their armed forces. Country B’s citizens own no property; their jobs are dictated by the state; their income is dictated by the state; and all aspects of their lives are regimented by state decrees.

3. Though Country A’s armed forces are underwritten by taxes, the members of the armed forces are volunteers. The members of Country B’s armed forces are conscripts, and Country B’s armed forces are, in effect, supplied and equipped by slave labor.

4. Country A would liberate Country B’s citizens, if it could. Country B would subjugate or kill Country A’s citizens, if it could.

What say you, then, to the following questions?

1. If Country B attacks Country A, what limits (if any) would you place on the measures Country A might take in its defense? Specifically:

a. Are civilian casualties in Country B acceptable at all?

b. Are civilian casualties in Country B acceptable if they’re the result of mistakes on Country A’s part or the unavoidable result of Country A’s attacks on Country B’s armed forces and infrastructure?

c. Is the deliberate infliction by Country A of civilian casualties in Country B acceptable as long as Country A’s leaders reasonably believe that the infliction of those casualties — and nothing else — will bring about the defeat of Country B? (Assume, here, that Country A’s leaders try to inflict only the number of casualties deemed necessary to the objective.)

(Assume, for purposes of the next two questions, that Country A inflicts casualties on Country B’s civilians only to the extent that those casualties are the result of mistakes or unavoidable collateral damage.)

2. Should Country A attack Country B if Country A concludes (rightly or wrongly, but in good faith) that Country B is about to attack, and if Country B strikes first it is likely to:

a. win a quick victory and subjugate Country A?

b. inflict heavy casualties on Country A’s citizens?

3. Should Country A attack Country B if Country A concludes (rightly or wrongly, but in good faith) that Country B is developing the wherewithal to attack, and if Country B strikes first it is likely to:

a. win a quick victory and subjugate Country A?

b. inflict heavy casualties on Country A’s citizens?

What I’m trying to get at is whether libertarians should value non-aggression (which serves liberty only when it is an agreed and enforceable principle within a society) over liberty itself. In light of that distinction, my answers are:

1. a. Yes
1. b. Yes
1. c Yes
2. a. Yes
2. b. Yes
3. a. Yes
3. b. Yes

In short, give me liberty. Non-aggression is for those who cannot tell — or refuse to see — the difference between an imperfect nation of laws and its manifestly lawless enemies.

Related posts: War, Self-Defense, and Civil Liberties (a collection of links)

Warming Thoughts on a Cold Day

Today’s high temperature in Austin is 30 degrees below normal. So much for global warming. Nevertheless, if global warming is irreversible — which I doubt — it comes with a silver lining:

“From a purely evolutionary point of view, warm periods have been exceptionally good to us. Cold periods have been the troublesome ages,” [according to Benny Peiser, a social anthropologist at Liverpool John Moores University]. The possible positive side effects of global warming have researchers like Peiser ready for changes to come.

Earth’s temperature is expected to rise 1.4 to 5.8 degrees Celsius between 1990 and 2100, according to the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, or IPCC. One area where this warming could aid society is in terms of health.

In Britain alone, scientists estimate between 20,000 and 40,000 deaths a year are related to cold winter weather. A report (.pdf) from the United Kingdom’s Faculty of Public Health found that the number of cold-weather deaths increase by approximately 8,000 for every 1 degree Celsius the temperature falls. Peiser estimates there will be only 2,000 more deaths a year due to an equal rise in temperature, because humans adapt better to hot climates and can rely on air conditioning.

“And Britain isn’t even that cold of place in the world respectively,” said Peiser. . . .

. . . While Peiser admits the price of global warming will differ for every region of the world, “the benefits outweigh the costs by far,” he said.

This could be especially true in regions of Russia where the harsh winters can kill hundreds in a single city. . . .

Fred Singer, president of the Science & Environmental Policy Project, a group that has consistently voiced doubts about the veracity of global warming projections, thinks the IPCC report (.pdf) [which sees an economic loss for developing countries and mixed consequences for developed nations] is wrong because “it deals with only part of the problem.”

Singer agrees with conclusions of The Impact of Climate Change. The book finds that a moderate warming will have a positive economic impact on the agriculture and forestry sectors. Since carbon dioxide is used by plants to capture and store energy, there may be a fertilizing effect as levels of the gas rise. This, combined with longer growing seasons, fewer frosts and more precipitation, among other factors, could benefit some economic sectors.

Bring on global warming. I could use some of it today.

Related posts:

Climatology (07/16/04)
Global Warming: Realities and Benefits (07/18/04)
Scientists in a Snit (08/14/04)
Another Blow to Climatology? (08/21/04)
Bad News for Politically Correct Science (10/18/04)
Another Blow to Chicken-Little Science (10/27/04)
Bad News for Enviro-Nuts (11/27/04)
The Hockey Stick Is Broken (01/31/05)
Science in Politics, Politics in Science (05/11/05)
Hurricanes and Global Warming (09/24/05)
Global Warming and the Liberal Agenda (10/12/05)

Personal Responsibility and Bomb Threats

Bleeding hearts must already be gushing about this story:

A passenger who claimed to have a bomb in a carry-on bag was shot and killed by a federal air marshal Wednesday on a jetway to an American Airlines plane that had arrived from Colombia, officials said. . . .

A witness said that the man frantically ran down the aisle of the Boeing 757 and that a woman with him said he was mentally ill.

The passenger, who indicated there was a bomb in the bag, was confronted by air marshals but ran off the aircraft, Doyle said.

The marshals pursued and ordered the passenger to get on the ground, but the man did not comply and was shot when apparently reaching into the bag, Doyle said. Authorities did not immediately say whether any bomb was found.

Passenger Mary Gardner told WTVJ in Miami that the man ran down the aisle from the rear of the plane. “He was frantic, his arms flailing in the air,” she said. She said a woman followed, shouting, “My husband! My husband!”

Gardner said she heard the woman say her husband was bipolar and had not had his medication.

UPDATE (FROM A LATER VERSION OF THE STORY):

The shooting occurred shortly after 2 p.m. as the plane was about to take off for Orlando after about two hours on the ground in Miami. “I don’t know yet if the passenger had been on the plane and was getting off, or was starting to board the aircraft,” airline spokesman Tim Wagner said.

After the shooting, investigators spread passengers’ bags on the tarmac and let dogs sniff them for explosives.

A U.S. official, who spoke on condition of anonymity because of the information’s sensitivity, said authorities examined the bag and found no explosives.

Assuming the facts are as stated in the story, I conclude two things:

  • The air marshals did their job.
  • The passenger did not. If he didn’t have a bomb, then he made an unfounded bomb threat and acted in an extremely provocative manner because he didn’t take his medication.

Irresponsibility does not excuse disruptive, threatening behavior.

Days of Infamy

December 7, 1941

September 11, 2001

More Commandments of Economics

A few days ago I posted ten twelve commandments of economics. Here are some more (#19 UPDATED, 12/06/05 @ 10:36 PM):

13. The economy isn’t a zero-sum game; for example:

Bill Gates is immensely wealthy because he took a risk to start a company that has created things that are of value to others. His creations (criticized as they may be) have led to increases in productivity. As a result, many people earn more than they would have otherwise earned; Microsoft has made profits; Microsoft’s share price rose considerably for a long time; Bill Gates became the wealthiest American (someone has to be). That’s win-win.

14. Externalities are everywhere.

Like the butterfly effect, everything we do affects everyone else. But with property rights those externalities (e.g., pollution) are compensated instead of being legislated against or fought over in courts. Relatedly . . .

15 . There is no such thing as a “public good.”

Public goods are thought to exist because certain services benefit “free riders” (persons who enjoy a service without paying for it). It is argued that, because of free riders, services like national defense be provided by government because it would be unprofitable for private firms to offer such services.

But that analysis overlooks the possibility that those who stand to gain the most from the production of a service such as defense may, in fact, value that service so highly that they would be willing to pay a price high enough to bring forth private suppliers, free riders notwithstanding. The free-rider problem isn’t really a problem unless the producer of a “public good” responds to requests for additional services from persons who don’t pay for those services. But private providers would be contractually obliged not to respond to such requests, of course.

Moreover, given the present arrangement of the tax burden, those who have the most to gain from defense and justice (classic examples of “public goods”) already support a lot of free riders and “cheap riders.” Given the value of defense and justice to the orderly operation of the economy, it is likely that affluent Americans and large corporations — if they weren’t already heavily taxed — would willingly form syndicates to provide defense and justice. Most of them, after all, are willing to buy private security services, despite the taxes they already pay.

I conclude that there is no “public good” case for the government provision of services. It may nevertheless be desirable to have a state monopoly on police and justice — but only on police and justice, and only because the alternatives are a private monopoly of force, on the one hand, or a clash of warlords, on the other hand. (See this post, for instance, which also links to related posts.)

You may ask: What about environmental protection? Isn’t it a public good that must be provided by government? No. Read this and this. Which leads me to “market failure.”

16. There is no such thing as “market failure.

The concept of market failure is closely related to the notion of a public good. When the market “fails” to do or prevent something that someone thinks should be done or prevented, the “failure” is invoked as an excuse for government action.

Except where there is crime (which should be treated as crime), there is no such thing as market failure. Rather, there is only the failure of the market to provide what some people think it should provide.

Those who invoke market failure are asserting that certain social and economic outcomes should be “fixed” (as in a “fixed” boxing match) to correct the “mistakes” and “oversights” of the market. Those who seek certain outcomes then use the political process to compel those outcomes, regardless whether those outcomes are, on the whole, beneficial. The proponents of compulsion succeed (most of the time) because the benefits of government intervention are focused and therefore garner support from organized constituencies (i.e. interest groups and voting blocs), whereas the costs of government intervention are spread among taxpayers and/or buyers of government debt.

There are so many examples of so-called public goods that arise from putative market failures that I won’t essay anything like a comprehensive list. There are, of course, protective services and environmental “protection,” both of which I mentioned in No. 15. Then there is public education, Social Security, Medicare, Medicaid, Affirmative Action, among the myriad federal, State, and local programs that perversely make most people worse off, including their intended beneficiaries. Arnold Kling explains:

[T]he Welfare State makes losers out of people who want to get ahead through hard work, thrift, or education. Those are precisely the activities that produce economic growth and social wealth, and they are hit particularly hard by Welfare State redistribution.

The Welfare State certainly has well-organized constituencies. The winners, such as the AARP and the teachers’ unions, know who they are. The losers — the working poor, children stuck in low-quality school districts — have much less political clout. The Welfare State has friends in both parties, as evidenced by the move to add a prescription drug benefit to Medicare.

As the Baby Boomers age, longevity increases, and new medical technology is developed, the cost of the Welfare State is going to rise. Economists agree that in another generation the share of GDP required by the Welfare State will exceed the share of GDP of total tax revenues today. The outlook for the working poor and other Welfare State losers is decidedly grim.

17. Borders are irrelevant, except for defense.

It is not “bad” or un-American to “send jobs overseas” or to buy goods and services that happen to originate in other countries. In fact, it is good to do such things because it means that available resources can be more fully employed and put to their best uses. Opponents of outsourcing and those who decry trade deficits want less to be produced; that is, they want to shelter the jobs of some Americans at the expense of making many more Americans worse off through higher prices.

For example, when Indian computer geeks operate call centers for lower salaries than the going rate for American computer geeks, it makes both Indians and Americans better off. Few Americans are computer geeks, but many Americans are computer users who benefit when they pay less for geek services (or the products with which geek services are bundled). Those who want to save the jobs of American computer geeks assume that (a) American computer geeks “deserve” their jobs (but Indians don’t) and (b) American computer geeks “deserve” their jobs at the expense of American consumers.

See also this, and this, and this.

18. Government budget deficits aren’t bad for the reason you think they’re bad.

Government spending is mostly bad (see No. 15) because it results in the misallocation of resources (and it’s inherently inflationary). Government spending — whether it is financed by taxes or borrowing — takes resources from productive uses and applies them to mostly unproductive and counterproductive uses. Government budget deficits are bad in that they reflect that misallocation — though they reflect only a portion of it. Getting hysterical about the government’s budget deficit (and the resulting pile of government debt) is like getting hysterical about a hangnail on an arm that has been amputated.

There’s no particular reason the federal government can’t keep on making the pile of debt bigger — it has been doing so continuously since 1839. As long as there are willing lenders out there, the amount the amount of debt the government can accumulate is virtually unlimited, as long as government spending does not grow to the point that its counterproductive effects bring the economy to its knees.

For more, see this, this, this, and this.

19. Monopoly (absent force, fraud, or government franchise) beats regulation, every time.

Regulators live in a dream world. They believe that they can emulate — and even improve on — the outcomes that would be produced by competitive markets. And that’s precisely where regulation fails: Bureaucratic rules cannot be devised to respond to consumers’ preferences and technological opportunities in the same ways that markets respond to those things. The main purpose of regulation (as even most regulators would admit) is to impose preferred outcomes, regardless of the immense (but mostly hidden) cost of regulation.

There should be a place of honor in regulatory hell for those who pursue “monopolists,” even though the only true monopolies are run by governments or exist with the connivance of governments (think of courts and cable franchises, for example). The opponents of “monopoly” really believe that success is bad. Those who agitate for antitrust actions against successful companies — branding them “monopolistic” — are stuck in a zero-sum view of the economic universe (see No. 13), in which “winners” must be balanced by “losers.” Antitrusters forget (if they ever knew) that (1) successful companies become successful by satisfying consumers; (2) consumers wouldn’t buy the damned stuff if they didn’t think it was worth the price; (3) “immense” profits invite competition (direct and indirect), which benefits consumers; and (4) the kind of innovation and risk-taking that (sometimes) leads to wealth for a few also benefits the many by fueling economic growth.

UPDATE: What about those “immense” profits? They don’t just disappear into thin air. Monopoly profits (“rent” in economists’ jargon) have to go somewhere, and so they do: into consumption, investment (which fuels economic growth), and taxes (which should make liberals happy). It’s just a question of who gets the money.

But isn’t output restricted, thus making people generally worse off? That may be what you learned in Econ 101, but that’s based on a static model which assumes that there’s a choice between monopoly and competition. I must expand on some of the points I made in the original portion of this commandment:

  • Monopoly (except when it’s gained by force, fraud, or government license) usually is a transitory state of affairs resulting from invention, innovation, and/or entrepreneurial skill.
  • Transitory? Why? Because monopoly profits invite competition — if not directly, then from substitutes.
  • Transitory monopolies arise as part of economic growth. Therefore, such monopolies exist as a “bonus” alongside competitive markets, not as alternatives to them.
  • The prospect of monopoly profits entices more invention, innovation, and entrepreneurship, which fuels more economic growth.

20. Stay tuned to this blog.

For much more, go here and follow the links.

A Little Putdown of Politically Correct Shopping

UPDATED BELOW

The current anti-Wal-Mart propoganda drive by unions and various “liberal” groups reminds me of my decision a few months ago to keep my Sam’s Club membership and drop my Costco membership. A few trips to Costco were enough to convince me that Sam’s Club suits my needs, and at better prices. Why pay two annual membership fees when one will do?

Why shouldn’t I shop at Sam’s Club? It’s a slave-free zone. I haven’t seen good squads dragging unwilling people in from the streets to work at Sam’s Club. I haven’t seen any Sam’s Club employees caged in their work areas. But maybe Sam’s Club is hiding all of that from public view. Perhaps there are secret prisions in Arkansas where they send Sam’s Club employees who try to resign for higher wages and benefits elsewhere. Yep. And labor union leaders are paid the same wages as the workers they represent.

P.S. On a related note, I have a word of advice for people who work in “one company towns” (e.g., regions centered around auto manufacturing). That word of advice is this: Leave. I should qualify that: You should have saved some money, figured out where you’d be better off, and gone there. You could see the handwriting on the wall; it’s been there for decades.

But whatever you do, don’t blame me for your woes. It’s not my fault that you live where you live. Blame your parents and blame yourself. Don’t take it out on me by demanding some kind of government bailout when your company goes belly up because you unionized it. If most consumers don’t want to buy what you make, why should they have to subsidize your remaining customers’ purchases of your inferior products? Why should I pay you to stay on the job if your State and local governments have enacted so many taxes and regulations that new companies don’t want to move into your “town” and hire you?

As I said: Leave. Your ancestors probably crossed the Atlantic to get here. You don’t have to go that far, and you can do it in a style to which your ancestors were not accustomed.

UPDATE (RE WAL-MART): Cafe Hayek points to a scholarly paper about the economic benefits of Wal-Mart and the like. Here’s the abstract (emphasis added):

Consumers often benefit from increased competition in differentiated product settings. In this paper we consider consumer benefits from increased competition in a differentiated product setting: the spread of non-traditional retail outlets. In this paper we estimate consumer benefits from supercenter entry and expansion into markets for food. We estimate a discrete choice model for household shopping choice of supercenters and traditional outlets for food. We have panel data for households so we can follow their shopping patterns over time and allow for a fixed effect in their shopping behavior. We find the benefits to be substantial, both in terms of food expenditure and in terms of overall consumer expenditure. Low income households benefit the most.

Labor unions don’t care about low-income households. They care about jacking up the wages and benefits of their members at the expense of low-income households.

Professor Buchanan Makes a Slight Mistake

Nobel laureate James M. Buchanan, writing in the inaugural edition of Cato Unbound, observes in passing that

[p]olitical leaders, both legislative and executive, with public support, act as if it is possible to spend without taxing, indeed as if the fisc offers the political equivalent of perpetual motion. This observed fiscal profligacy stems from diverse sources: institutional history, Keynesian follies, supply-side exaggerations, and, finally, the very logic of collective action, which fosters the personalized illusion of something for nothing, especially amid the natural constituency pressures of representative democracy.

Everything about that paragraph is correct but for the implication that it is not possible to spend without taxing. It is possible for the federal government to spend without taxing; it can simply borrow (or it can print money, which would amount to the same thing). Taxation and borrowing have similar results from the government’s standpoint; that is, both allow the government to commandeer resources and put them to work on things deemed “important” to government officials and their constituencies. But taxation and borrowing do differ in their effects on the public.

1. Through taxation, government confiscates taxpayers’ claims against current output and converts those claims to government programs that (for the most part) either increase the incomes of certain persons (e.g., most welfare recipients and many government employees who otherwise would fare less well in the private sector) or create “psychic income” for the proponents of those programs (even as those programs erode economic performance).

2. Borrowing doesn’t change the effects of government spending, but it does fund government spending in an importantly different way. That is, lenders (unlike taxpayers) voluntarily relinquish their claims on current output, in return for larger claims on future output (i.e., principal plus interest). And those claims on future output can be redeemed by additional borrowing in the future. (As I have argued here, there is no obvious limit on the amount the amount of debt the government can accumulate. I assume, of course, that the government’s appetite for spending would not become voracious enough to bring the economy to its knees.)

3. When the government borrows from foreigners instead of Americans, those foreigners willingly assume the real “burden” of the debt; that is, they relinquish some of their claims on the current output of the U.S. economy. Foreigners can transfer their “burden” to Americans only as Americans are willing to buy government debt from foreigners. To the extent that government spending provides any benefits for Americans, foreigners are doing Americans a big favor by lending money to the government. Why? Because they are subsidizing the output of government services that are, in the main, “enjoyed” by Americans.

The O’Reilly Factoid

This (via Don Boudreaux) only reaffirms my contempt for Bill O’Reilly.

Torture and Morality

REVISED, 12/05/05
ADDENDUM, 12/06/05

Torture terrorists if that’s the most effective way of finding out what they’re up to? Why not? Will they refrain from terror if we refrain from torture? Hah!

Is this a war or a tea party, with Alger Hiss as host? Does torturing terrorists (if that’s what it takes to catch the bad guys) make America any less wonderful? Does exceeding the speed limit (if that’s what it takes to make it to the hip-hop party on time) make America any less wonderful? You figure it out.

Torture — or “aggressive interrogation,” if you prefer — can be quarantined. It isn’t contagious; you can’t catch it unless you’re a foreigner who’s caught in the wrong place doing the wrong thing (trying to kill Americans). It’s not exactly like being a babe in the womb.

Anyone who thinks of John McCain as a moral authority on torture because he endured the pain of torture must also think of John McCain as a moral authority on freedom of speech because he has endured the “pain” of political opposition. Experience does not always breed wisdom. John McCain is right about one thing: the war in Iraq. Which means that he is right far less often than a stopped clock, which is right twice a day.

John McCain is all about John McCain. Most Democrats are all about anything that’s anti-Bush and anti-war. If you wish to calibrate your moral compass, do not point it in the direction of John McCain or a Democrat member of Congress (Joe Lieberman excepted).

Torture a terrorist? How could a liberal condone such a thing? A liberal has more important things to condone — murderers and the torture of innocent unborn children, for example.

Tom Smith has much more.

ADDENDUM: So does Blanton at RedState.org:

John McCain is a fool. He is also a charlatan. He is convinced that the world would be better off if everyone agreed with him and has set about to make it so. When McCain was accurately criticized by third party interest groups, he set about restricting the first amendment. Now, because he was a prisoner of war who was tortured, he has decided to take moral high ground on how the United States treats enemy terrorists, though the United States does not torture terrorists. Nonetheless, McCain has chosen to believe terrorists in captivity and reporters bent on destroying the war effort than the military personnel who are keeping us safe.

John McCain is attempting to add to the appropriations process a provision that would prohibit the United States from doing to captured terrorists those things we are prohibited from doing to American citizens under the 5th, 8th, or 14th amendments to the United States Constitution. We will, in effect, be giving constitutional protections to enemy terrorists who, when given the opportunity, slowly saw off the heads (graphic violence) of captured Americans.

All’s Fair in Love and Cycling

Tom Smith of The Right Coast — a bicyclist himself — suggests the following antidote for drivers who like to “swoosh” close to cyclists:

If every one in 10 cyclists or so was packing, maybe another little part of the brain-like organ in the driver would think, “Uhnn. He has a gun. Mebbee I shouldn’t sceer him.”

I’ll go along with that, if Smith will go concede the right of motorists to shoot those cyclists who (a) cross intersections against the light, (b) insist on traveling in the traffic lane when there’s a clear shoulder or parking lane available, and (c) insist on riding two (or more) abreast in a bicycle lane, thus intruding on the traffic lane.

While I’m on the subject: Walkers on hike-bike trails (usually clearly marked to indicate that pedestrians take precedence) should be able to shoot cyclists who insist on making known their disdain for walkers by veering close to them in passing.

Let he who is without blame fire the first bullet.

Ten Commandments of Economics

MAKE THAT 12 COMMANDMENTS . . . UPDATED 12/03/05

1. Self-interest drives us to do good things for others while striving to do well for ourselves.

2. Profit is good because it drives people to invent, innovate, and invest in new and better products and services.

3. Incentives matter: Just as self-interest and profit drive progress, taxes and welfare stifle it.

4. Only slaves and dupes can be exploited. (Wal-Mart employees are not exploited because they are not forced to work at Wal-Mart; anti-Wal-Mart activists are exploited because they’re dupes of the anti-business Left.)

5. There’s no free lunch, all costs must be covered by prices or taxes.

6. The appearance of a free lunch (e.g., government’s assumption of risk for retirement savings, company-subsidized health insurance) leads individuals to make bad decisions (e.g., not saving enough for old age, overspending on health care).

7. Paternalism is for children; when adults aren’t allowed to make economic decisions for themselves they don’t learn from mistakes and can’t pass that learning on to their children.

8. All costs matter; one cannot make good economic decisions by focusing on one type of cost, such as the cost of energy.

9. There best way to deal with pollution and the “depletion” of natural resources is to assign property rights in resources now held in common. The owners of a resource have a vested interest (a) in caring for it so that it remains profitable, and (b) in raising its price as it becomes harder to obtain, thus encouraging the development of alternatives.

10. Discrimination is inevitable in a free society; to choose is to discriminate. In free and competitive markets — unfettered by Jim Crow, affirmative action, or other intrusions by the state — discrimination is most likely to be based on the value of one’s contributions.

11. Voluntary exchange is a win-win game for workers, consumers, and businesses. When exchange is constrained by regulation, someone loses, namely, the worker (fewer jobs and lower wages) and the consumer (higher prices and less freedom of choice).

12. Absent force or fraud, we earn what we deserve, and we deserve what we earn.

A One-Issue Blogger

Mark Shea (via Steve Dillard at Southern Appeal) notices that the

key to everything [Andrew] Sullivan writes is the defense of his sex life. His attacks on Bush suddenly began after Bush said no to gay marriage. And, of course, his increasingly shrill loathing of Benedict springs from the same source.

I noted the same phenomenon on September 9, 2004, in the heat of the Bush-Kerry race:

Andrew Sullivan, renowned homosexual blogger, who was once a staunch supporter of Bush and the war in Iraq has turned his back on his old loves. Sullivan now openly embraces Kerry (no pun intended), puts down Bush at every opportunity, and second-guesses the war in Iraq.

Like many other bloggers, I long sensed that Sullivan eventually would change his colors because he has been monomaniacal about the recognition of homosexual marriage. He kept harping on it in post after post, day after day, week after week. It got so boring that I took Sullivan’s blog off my blogroll and quit reading it.

Now, Kerry isn’t much better than Bush on gay marriage — from Sullivan’s perspective — but Kerry doesn’t make a big issue of opposing it the way Bush does. Maybe that’s because Kerry doesn’t know where he stands on gay marriage. Why should he? He doesn’t seem to know where he stands on anything. No, I take that back: Kerry believes in serial monogamy with rich women; the evidence is irrefutable.

But I digress. Back to Andrew Sullivan. He seems to have put his sexual orientation above all else. He’s really a one-issue voter. Sure, he has rationalized his change of mind, but his change of mind can be traced, I think, to his preoccupation with gay marriage as a political litmus test.

Plus ça change, plus c’est la même chose.

A Simple Fallacy

Economic historian Robert Fogel, in an interview with Nick Schultz at Tech Central Station, makes some passing observations about private saving as an alternative to Social Security:

Nick Schulz: In the book [The Escape From Hunger and Premature Death: 1700 to 2100] you see a growing demand for leisure and retirement, and education and health care. Now, in current debates, especially in Washington, that sounds like more Social Security. . . . How do you see that?

Robert Fogel: . . . .

We’re probably going to shift gradually, despite the opposition to it, to private accounts, which exist in some countries, which require everyone who enters the labor force to put aside 30 percent of their income into a fund to cover retirement, health care, and education. In some countries, they permit you to borrow against that fund to buy houses.

And, it’s approaching what American academics have. You cannot teach in American universities without having TIAA-CREF. In American universities, you’re required to put aside between 12-and-a-half and 17 percent (it varies from university to university) into this fund so that when you retire you don’t end up with a tin cup sitting on the administration building saying, “I was a good teacher once, please help me.”

So, that’s a forced retirement system. It has the advantage over Social Security that the government can’t take it away. . . .

Nick Schulz: And you see that as a potential model for Social Security or public pension programs?

Robert Fogel: Right. Now, there is an argument which says it’s not as secure as the guaranteed government program. Well, ultimately, what the government can pay depends on how the economy performs. . . .

Fogel’s last comment is good as far as it goes, but it doesn’t go far enough. Every dime the government takes from a worker and gives to a retiree is a dime that cannot be invested in economic growth. So, it’s true that the “guarantee” of Social Security is only as strong as the economy. But that’s only half the story. It’s true also that Social Security weakens the economy by diverting resources from investment to consumption. The “guarantee” that liberals and leftists like to tout when they defend Social Security is therefore the opposite of a guarantee. Forced participation in Social Security is an insidious form of rot that actually undermines economic security by undermining the economy.